-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Grand Canyon University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.5% → 0.0%).
Arizona · Private for-profit · Predominantly bachelor's
Grand Canyon University
Phoenix, Arizona. 68,619 undergraduate students. 124 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Grand Canyon University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+17%
For-profit bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Grand Canyon University are 17% above the for-profit bachelor's-predominant peer median ($42.2k vs $36.1k).
+14%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Grand Canyon University rose 14% between 2021 and 2024 (64.2k → 73.4k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Arizona
Each tile compares this institution to the Arizona median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$42,186-11% · 6→10y
Arizona median $39,817$47,280
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry43.0%+30% · '97→'24
Arizona median 43.0%$12,500+111% · '97→'20
At program completion68,619+3632% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS68.4%+31% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time60.4%+15% · '01→'24
latest cohort$17,450+84% · '00→'24
out-of-state $17,450SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.9%Median federal debt $12,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $42,186 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+30%
Grand Canyon University · completion · 150% rose
33.3% → 43.5%
+131%
Grand Canyon University · completion · 100% rose
15.9% → 36.7%
+31%
Grand Canyon University · retention rose
55.0% → 72.0%
+3632%
Grand Canyon University · undergrad enrollment rose
1,966 → 73,371
+84%
Grand Canyon University · in-state tuition rose
$9,710 → $17,850
+84%
Grand Canyon University · out-of-state tuition rose
$9,710 → $17,850
+111%
Grand Canyon University · median debt rose
$10,500 → $22,114
-100%
Grand Canyon University · cohort default rate fell
15.1% → 0.0%
+31%
Grand Canyon University · pell share rose
35.2% → 45.9%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$141,899Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$133,794Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$118,164Computer and Information Sciences, General.$111,328Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$100,075Business Administration, Management and Operations.$86,286Educational Administration and Supervision.$82,859Accounting and Related Services.$80,687Finance and Financial Management Services.$80,158Homeland Security.$79,207Health and Medical Administrative Services.$77,763Education, General.$77,342Clinical/Medical Laboratory Science/Research and Allied Professions.$73,611Public Administration.$71,360Educational Administration and Supervision.$70,614Public Health.$70,527Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$68,869Teaching English or French as a Second or Foreign Language.$68,341Accounting and Related Services.$67,380Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$64,519Business Administration, Management and Operations.$63,757Curriculum and Instruction.$63,327Security Science and Technology.$62,726English Language and Literature, General.$60,020
Showing top 24 of 55 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
55 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$52,990Special Education and Teaching.$57,016Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$44,724Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$64,519Educational Administration and Supervision.$70,614Education, General.$77,342Special Education and Teaching.$46,426Educational Administration and Supervision.$82,859Teaching English or French as a Second or Foreign Language.$68,341Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$49,950Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$68,869Curriculum and Instruction.$63,327
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PHILOSOPHY & RELIGIOUS STUDIES · CIP 38
THEOLOGY & RELIGIOUS VOCATIONS · CIP 39
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$100,075Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$118,164Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions.$52,533Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions.$47,716Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$141,899Health and Medical Administrative Services.$57,092Health and Medical Administrative Services.$77,763Clinical/Medical Laboratory Science/Research and Allied Professions.$73,611Public Health.$70,527Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$133,794Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$53,825
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$86,286Business Administration, Management and Operations.$63,757Accounting and Related Services.$67,380Marketing.$53,426Finance and Financial Management Services.$80,158Accounting and Related Services.$80,687Entrepreneurial and Small Business Operations.$54,269
HISTORY · CIP 54
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Arizona
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Grand Canyon University graduates earn $X” — not “Grand Canyon University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Grand Canyon University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.