-77%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Tucson College of Beauty fell 77% between 2006 and 2009 (81.8% → 18.6%).
Arizona · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Tucson College of Beauty
Tucson, Arizona. 134 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Tucson College of Beauty
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Arizona
Each tile compares this institution to the Arizona median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$27,314+29% · 6→10y
Arizona median $39,817$21,104
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry72.9%-77% · '06→'09
Arizona median 43.0%$6,333+113% · '06→'20
At program completion134+227% · '06→'24
latest IPEDS78.3%-19% · '07→'24
first-time, full-time—±0% · '07→'09
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.1%Median federal debt $6,333 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $27,314 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-77%
Tucson College of Beauty · completion · 150% fell
81.8% → 18.6%
-19%
Tucson College of Beauty · retention fell
100.0% → 80.7%
+50%
Tucson College of Beauty · undergrad enrollment rose
44 → 144
+113%
Tucson College of Beauty · median debt rose
$2,969 → $6,333
-100%
Tucson College of Beauty · cohort default rate fell
10.0% → 0.0%
+191%
Tucson College of Beauty · pell share rose
16.2% → 47.1%
+23%
Tucson College of Beauty · earnings_median_6yr rose
$17,200 → $21,104
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Arizona
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Tucson College of Beauty graduates earn $X” — not “Tucson College of Beauty makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Tucson College of Beauty caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.