-41%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 41% at Henderson State University vs the 2018–2022 baseline (1.5k vs 2.5k).
Arkansas · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Henderson State University
Arkadelphia, Arkansas. 1,491 undergraduate students. 85 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Henderson State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Henderson State University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.4% → 0.0%).
-34%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Henderson State University fell 34% between 2021 and 2024 (2.2k → 1.5k).
+14%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Henderson State University rose 14% between 2021 and 2024 (23.9% → 27.2%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Arkansas
Each tile compares this institution to the Arkansas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$43,459+23% · 6→10y
Arkansas median $34,871$35,194
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry38.0%+45% · '97→'24
Arkansas median 47.1%$12,000+395% · '97→'20
At program completion1,491-55% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS59.4%-0% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time81.9%+16% · '01→'23
latest cohort$7,885+197% · '00→'24
out-of-state $9,882SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.7%Median federal debt $12,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $43,459 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+45%
Henderson State University · completion · 150% rose
25.8% → 37.3%
+210%
Henderson State University · completion · 100% rose
8.8% → 27.2%
-55%
Henderson State University · undergrad enrollment fell
3,236 → 1,456
+197%
Henderson State University · in-state tuition rose
$2,777 → $8,244
+100%
Henderson State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$5,297 → $10,620
+395%
Henderson State University · median debt rose
$3,937 → $19,500
-100%
Henderson State University · cohort default rate fell
17.7% → 0.0%
+23%
Henderson State University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$35,300 → $43,459
+20%
Henderson State University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$32,800 → $39,423
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
6 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Arkansas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Henderson State University graduates earn $X” — not “Henderson State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Henderson State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.