-51pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 51 pp at Hot Springs Beauty College vs the 2004–2008 baseline (25.0% vs 76.4%).
Arkansas · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Hot Springs Beauty College
Hot Springs, Arkansas. 92 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Hot Springs Beauty College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Hot Springs Beauty College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (5.4% → 0.0%).
-22%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Hot Springs Beauty College fell 22% between 2007 and 2010 (94.3% → 74.0%).
+64%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Hot Springs Beauty College rose 64% between 2009 and 2010 (2.4% → 4.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Arkansas
Each tile compares this institution to the Arkansas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$21,563+27% · 6→10y
Arkansas median $34,871$16,969
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry25.0%+443% · '98→'10
Arkansas median 47.1%$8,000+547% · '97→'20
At program completion92+126% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS77.8%-0% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
4.9%Median federal debt $8,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $21,563 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+443%
Hot Springs Beauty College · completion · 150% rose
13.6% → 74.0%
+64%
Hot Springs Beauty College · completion · 100% rose
2.4% → 4.0%
+24%
Hot Springs Beauty College · undergrad enrollment rose
38 → 86
+547%
Hot Springs Beauty College · median debt rose
$1,500 → $9,700
-100%
Hot Springs Beauty College · cohort default rate fell
12.5% → 0.0%
-26%
Hot Springs Beauty College · pell share fell
98.8% → 73.6%
+43%
Hot Springs Beauty College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$15,100 → $21,563
+31%
Hot Springs Beauty College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$11,900 → $16,502
+34%
Hot Springs Beauty College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$11,900 → $16,969
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Arkansas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Hot Springs Beauty College graduates earn $X” — not “Hot Springs Beauty College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Hot Springs Beauty College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.