-24%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at National Park College fell 24% between 2007 and 2010 (29.1% → 22.1%).
Arkansas · Public · Predominantly certificates
National Park College
Hot Springs, Arkansas. 1,706 undergraduate students. 50 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at National Park College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+23%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at National Park College rose 23% between 2021 and 2024 ($4.5k → $5.6k).
+17%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at National Park College rose 17% between 2021 and 2024 ($6.2k → $7.3k).
-16%
First-year retention
First-year retention at National Park College fell 16% between 2021 and 2024 (59.9% → 50.6%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Arkansas
Each tile compares this institution to the Arkansas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$32,444+14% · 6→10y
Arkansas median $34,871$28,337
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry36.0%+236% · '97→'10
Arkansas median 47.1%$6,250+300% · '97→'20
At program completion1,706+13% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS51.9%-26% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$5,600+471% · '00→'24
out-of-state $7,280SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.6%Median federal debt $6,250 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $32,444 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+236%
National Park College · completion · 150% rose
6.6% → 22.1%
-26%
National Park College · retention fell
68.0% → 50.6%
+462%
National Park College · in-state tuition rose
$980 → $5,600
+162%
National Park College · out-of-state tuition rose
$2,780 → $7,280
+300%
National Park College · median debt rose
$2,625 → $10,500
-100%
National Park College · cohort default rate fell
31.8% → 0.0%
+30%
National Park College · pell share rose
37.0% → 48.0%
+22%
National Park College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$24,200 → $29,539
+31%
National Park College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$21,700 → $28,337
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$64,984Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$64,558Practical Nursing, Vocational Nursing and Nursing Assistants.$52,163Criminal Justice and Corrections.$34,416Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$32,596Vehicle Maintenance and Repair Technologies.$31,622
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
6 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
MECHANIC & REPAIR TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 47
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Arkansas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“National Park College graduates earn $X” — not “National Park College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending National Park College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.