-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Graduate Theological Union fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.2% → 0.0%).
California · Private nonprofit · Predominantly graduate
Graduate Theological Union
Berkeley, California. 6 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Graduate Theological Union
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. California
Each tile compares this institution to the California median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
—
California median $42,588—
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry—
California median 61.3%—
At program completion—
latest IPEDS—
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in California
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Graduate Theological Union graduates earn $X” — not “Graduate Theological Union makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Graduate Theological Union caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.