+28%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Modesto Junior College rose 28% between 2007 and 2010 ($522 → $670).
California · Public · Predominantly associate's
Modesto Junior College
Modesto, California. 14,714 undergraduate students. 121 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Modesto Junior College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+90%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Modesto Junior College rose 90% between 2007 and 2010 (8.8k → 16.8k).
+31%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Modesto Junior College rose 31% between 2021 and 2024 (22.6% → 29.6%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. California
Each tile compares this institution to the California median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$42,368+23% · 6→10y
California median $42,588$34,568
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry26.1%-32% · '97→'24
California median 61.3%$3,375
At program completion14,714+61% · '96→'10
latest IPEDS—+3% · '04→'10
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$1,270+107% · '00→'10
out-of-state $8,870SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
1.1%Median federal debt $3,375 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $42,368 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
-32%
Modesto Junior College · completion · 150% fell
43.3% → 29.6%
-100%
Modesto Junior College · completion · 100% fell
5.0% → 0.0%
+61%
Modesto Junior College · undergrad enrollment rose
10,437 → 16,847
+35%
Modesto Junior College · in-state tuition rose
$324 → $670
+149%
Modesto Junior College · out-of-state tuition rose
$3,724 → $9,264
+34%
Modesto Junior College · pell share rose
21.2% → 28.4%
+36%
Modesto Junior College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$28,200 → $38,275
+41%
Modesto Junior College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$24,500 → $34,568
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$111,592Biological and Physical Sciences.$64,091Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$59,725Business/Commerce, General.$53,256Criminal Justice and Corrections.$49,543Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$49,123Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$46,582Business Administration, Management and Operations.$41,094Psychology, General.$37,763Human Development, Family Studies, and Related Services.$25,835
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
10 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in California
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Modesto Junior College graduates earn $X” — not “Modesto Junior College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Modesto Junior College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.