-19%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Paier College fell 19% between 2006 and 2009 (68.2% → 55.6%).
Connecticut · Private for-profit · Predominantly bachelor's
Paier College
Bridgeport, Connecticut. 183 undergraduate students. 9 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Paier College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-12%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Paier College fell 12% between 2006 and 2009 (232 → 204).
-10%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Paier College fell 10% between 2006 and 2009 (47.4% → 42.4%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Connecticut
Each tile compares this institution to the Connecticut median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
—
Connecticut median $57,515—
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry57.1%+24% · '99→'09
Connecticut median 70.2%$8,935+76% · '97→'09
At program completion183-20% · '96→'09
latest IPEDS63.6%+19% · '04→'09
first-time, full-time61.5%
latest cohort$26,400+14% · '00→'09
out-of-state $26,400SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+24%
Paier College · completion · 150% rose
44.7% → 55.6%
+19%
Paier College · retention rose
74.0% → 87.9%
+76%
Paier College · median debt rose
$6,125 → $10,750
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Paier College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$442,965
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $31,089
- HS-only baseline · CT
- $42,300
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 50
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Connecticut
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Paier College graduates earn $X” — not “Paier College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Paier College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.