+92%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at First Coast Technical College rose 92% between 2021 and 2024 (379 → 727).
Florida · Public · Predominantly certificates
First Coast Technical College
Saint Augustine, Florida. 369 undergraduate students. 16 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at First Coast Technical College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Florida
Each tile compares this institution to the Florida median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$33,784+2% · 6→10y
Florida median $36,288$33,009
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry76.6%+443% · '98→'09
Florida median 65.6%—
At program completion369-78% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS69.6%+18% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
+443%
First Coast Technical College · completion · 150% rose
15.1% → 82.0%
+18%
First Coast Technical College · retention rose
71.0% → 83.8%
-78%
First Coast Technical College · undergrad enrollment fell
3,301 → 727
+74%
First Coast Technical College · pell share rose
18.6% → 32.3%
+38%
First Coast Technical College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$24,500 → $33,784
+24%
First Coast Technical College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$24,700 → $30,654
+56%
First Coast Technical College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$21,200 → $33,009
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at First Coast Technical College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Fire Protection · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at First Coast Technical College(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Florida
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“First Coast Technical College graduates earn $X” — not “First Coast Technical College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending First Coast Technical College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.