-56%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Orange Technical College fell 56% between 2021 and 2024 (43.9% → 19.5%).
Florida · Public · Predominantly certificates
Orange Technical College
Orlando, Florida. 189 undergraduate students. 18 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Orange Technical College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+36%
Earnings trend · post-entry horizons
Earnings 10 years post-entry at Orange Technical College are 36% above 6-year earnings ($27.0k → $36.6k).
-13%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Orange Technical College fell 13% between 2006 and 2009 (67.5% → 58.6%).
-12pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 12 pp at Orange Technical College vs the 2003–2007 baseline (65.6% vs 77.7%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Florida
Each tile compares this institution to the Florida median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$36,650+36% · 6→10y
Florida median $36,288$27,013
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry65.6%-41% · '02→'09
Florida median 65.6%—
At program completion189-87% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS23.5%+95% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
-41%
Orange Technical College · completion · 150% fell
100.0% → 58.6%
+95%
Orange Technical College · retention rose
10.0% → 19.5%
-87%
Orange Technical College · undergrad enrollment fell
1,269 → 166
-30%
Orange Technical College · pell share fell
11.7% → 8.2%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
2 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Orange Technical College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$181,607
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 6
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $9,360
- HS-only baseline · FL
- $35,400
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Florida
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Orange Technical College graduates earn $X” — not “Orange Technical College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Orange Technical College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.