Georgia · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's

Thomas University

Thomasville, Georgia. 813 undergraduate students. 36 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Thomas University

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-88%

100%-time completion

100%-time completion at Thomas University fell 88% between 2021 and 2024 (25.0% → 2.9%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at Thomas University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.0% → 0.0%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-23%

First-year retention

First-year retention at Thomas University fell 23% between 2021 and 2024 (64.0% → 49.2%).

COMPLETION DROP · TRENDING WORSE-13pp

150%-time completion

150%-time completion fell 13 pp at Thomas University vs the 2003–2007 baseline (27.8% vs 40.5%).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Georgia

Each tile compares this institution to the Georgia median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$49,716+10% · 6→10y
Georgia median $38,208
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$45,305
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
27.8%+380% · '97→'09
Georgia median 41.6%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$15,000+506% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
813+23% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
63.6%-10% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
43.2%-42% · '12→'24
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$11,640+48% · '01→'24
out-of-state $11,640
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

4.0%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $15,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $49,716 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 19962024998
1,0505919962024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1997200975.8%
100%5%19972009
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020$21,198
$22,250$3,50019972020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 150% · 19972009+380%

Thomas University · completion · 150% rose

15.8% → 75.8%

COMPLETION · 100% · 19972024-46%

Thomas University · completion · 100% fell

5.4% → 2.9%

RETENTION · 20042024-10%

Thomas University · retention fell

55.0% → 49.3%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 19962024+23%

Thomas University · undergrad enrollment rose

809 → 998

IN-STATE TUITION · 20012024+48%

Thomas University · in-state tuition rose

$7,870 → $11,640

OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 20012024+48%

Thomas University · out-of-state tuition rose

$7,870 → $11,640

MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020+506%

Thomas University · median debt rose

$3,500 → $21,198

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 20112024-100%

Thomas University · cohort default rate fell

9.0% → 0.0%

PELL SHARE · 20082024+38%

Thomas University · pell share rose

40.0% → 55.4%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20072020+34%

Thomas University · earnings_median_10yr rose

$37,100 → $49,716

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 20052020+57%

Thomas University · earnings_median_8yr rose

$33,700 → $52,855

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 20032020+49%

Thomas University · earnings_median_6yr rose

$30,400 → $45,305

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Thomas University

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE
$104,330
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 23
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
graduationbreakeven · year 23year 0year 39
Cost per year
$20,893
HS-only baseline · GA
$35,800
Years to complete
4
CIP family
26

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Thomas University graduates earn $X” — not “Thomas University makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Thomas University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →