Idaho · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates

Carrington College-Boise

Boise, Idaho. 433 undergraduate students. 11 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Carrington College-Boise

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

COMPLETION DROP · TRENDING WORSE-19pp

150%-time completion

150%-time completion fell 19 pp at Carrington College-Boise vs the 2003–2007 baseline (58.0% vs 77.3%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at Carrington College-Boise fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.7% → 0.0%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+15%

Median federal debt at exit

Median federal debt at exit at Carrington College-Boise rose 15% between 2017 and 2020 ($13.2k → $15.2k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-13%

150%-time completion

150%-time completion at Carrington College-Boise fell 13% between 2006 and 2009 (77.9% → 67.6%).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Idaho

Each tile compares this institution to the Idaho median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$43,731+17% · 6→10y
Idaho median $30,543
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$37,283
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
58.0%-32% · '97→'09
Idaho median 64.1%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$12,094+143% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
433+414% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
83.0%-14% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
+437% · '01→'18
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
annual
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

3.7%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $12,094 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $43,731 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 19962024478
1,4402219962024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1997200967.6%
100%67%19972009
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020$15,188
$15,487$6,23919972020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 150% · 19972009-32%

Carrington College-Boise · completion · 150% fell

100.0% → 67.6%

RETENTION · 20042024-14%

Carrington College-Boise · retention fell

82.0% → 70.2%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 19962024+193%

Carrington College-Boise · undergrad enrollment rose

93 → 478

MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020+143%

Carrington College-Boise · median debt rose

$6,239 → $15,188

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 20112024-100%

Carrington College-Boise · cohort default rate fell

14.4% → 0.0%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20072020+63%

Carrington College-Boise · earnings_median_10yr rose

$26,800 → $43,731

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 20052020+54%

Carrington College-Boise · earnings_median_8yr rose

$25,000 → $38,619

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 20032020+46%

Carrington College-Boise · earnings_median_6yr rose

$25,600 → $37,283

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Carrington College-Boise

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

EARNINGS SUPPRESSED

Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Allied Health and Medical Assisting Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Carrington College-Boise(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Carrington College-Boise graduates earn $X” — not “Carrington College-Boise makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Carrington College-Boise caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →