-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Illinois State University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.7% → 0.0%).
Illinois · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Illinois State University
Normal, Illinois. 18,414 undergraduate students. 138 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Illinois State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Illinois
Each tile compares this institution to the Illinois median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$62,117+23% · 6→10y
Illinois median $40,810$50,599
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry66.3%+21% · '97→'24
Illinois median 53.3%$15,750+255% · '97→'20
At program completion18,414+15% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS81.3%-3% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time89.0%+14% · '01→'24
latest cohort$16,021+272% · '00→'24
out-of-state $28,086SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.4%Median federal debt $15,750 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $62,117 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+21%
Illinois State University · completion · 150% rose
53.4% → 64.5%
+75%
Illinois State University · completion · 100% rose
27.8% → 48.7%
+272%
Illinois State University · in-state tuition rose
$4,336 → $16,144
+162%
Illinois State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$10,774 → $28,210
+255%
Illinois State University · median debt rose
$5,777 → $20,482
-100%
Illinois State University · cohort default rate fell
3.0% → 0.0%
+82%
Illinois State University · pell share rose
17.6% → 32.1%
+33%
Illinois State University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$46,800 → $62,117
+34%
Illinois State University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$42,600 → $57,276
+31%
Illinois State University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$38,700 → $50,599
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$120,079Business Administration, Management and Operations.$99,585Computer Science.$99,457Accounting and Related Services.$95,606Management Information Systems and Services.$95,306Construction Management.$94,268Finance and Financial Management Services.$86,558Insurance.$85,527Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications.$84,405Computer and Information Sciences, General.$84,395Public Health.$83,534Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$83,441Accounting and Related Services.$81,805Industrial Production Technologies/Technicians.$79,726International Business.$78,951Marketing.$76,346Management Sciences and Quantitative Methods.$74,155Energy Systems Technologies/Technicians.$72,771Economics.$71,687Business Administration, Management and Operations.$70,456Health and Medical Administrative Services.$67,193Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$66,546Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$66,257Clinical/Medical Laboratory Science/Research and Allied Professions.$65,434
Showing top 24 of 58 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
58 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 10
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15
FOREIGN LANGUAGES · CIP 16
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS · CIP 27
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$83,441Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$55,299Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$66,546Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$120,079Public Health.$83,534Clinical/Medical Laboratory Science/Research and Allied Professions.$65,434Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$48,896Health and Medical Administrative Services.$67,193
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
Marketing.$76,346Finance and Financial Management Services.$86,558Accounting and Related Services.$81,805Business Administration, Management and Operations.$70,456Management Sciences and Quantitative Methods.$74,155Business Administration, Management and Operations.$99,585Construction Management.$94,268Accounting and Related Services.$95,606Insurance.$85,527International Business.$78,951Management Information Systems and Services.$95,306
HISTORY · CIP 54
AGRICULTURE · CIP 01
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Illinois State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$90,654
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 19
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $16,424
- HS-only baseline · IL
- $38,300
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 13
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Illinois
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Illinois State University graduates earn $X” — not “Illinois State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Illinois State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.