-83%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at St. Augustine College fell 83% between 2021 and 2024 (99.2% → 17.1%).
Illinois · Private nonprofit · Predominantly associate's
St. Augustine College
Chicago, Illinois. 749 undergraduate students. 16 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at St. Augustine College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+62%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at St. Augustine College rose 62% between 2017 and 2020 ($2.7k → $4.4k).
-23%
First-year retention
First-year retention at St. Augustine College fell 23% between 2021 and 2024 (66.7% → 51.6%).
-20pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 20 pp at St. Augustine College vs the 2018–2022 baseline (27.8% vs 48.1%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Illinois
Each tile compares this institution to the Illinois median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$35,723+14% · 6→10y
Illinois median $40,810$31,348
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry27.8%+25% · '99→'24
Illinois median 53.3%$4,136+67% · '16→'20
At program completion749-39% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS62.3%-6% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$13,288+106% · '00→'24
out-of-state $13,288SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
1.5%Median federal debt $4,136 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $35,723 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+25%
St. Augustine College · completion · 150% rose
13.8% → 17.1%
-39%
St. Augustine College · undergrad enrollment fell
1,298 → 787
+106%
St. Augustine College · in-state tuition rose
$6,660 → $13,688
+106%
St. Augustine College · out-of-state tuition rose
$6,660 → $13,688
+67%
St. Augustine College · median debt rose
$2,656 → $4,423
+27%
St. Augustine College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$28,200 → $35,723
+25%
St. Augustine College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$26,900 → $33,555
+24%
St. Augustine College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$25,200 → $31,348
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$54,662Culinary Arts and Related Services.$43,384Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$36,455Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$36,374Social Work.$33,983Business Operations Support and Assistant Services.$33,609Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$32,327Business Administration, Management and Operations.$28,164Accounting and Related Services.$24,487
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
9 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
EDUCATION · CIP 13
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at St. Augustine College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$174,111
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $16,905
- HS-only baseline · IL
- $38,300
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 13
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Illinois
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“St. Augustine College graduates earn $X” — not “St. Augustine College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending St. Augustine College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.