-19%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Steven Papageorge Hair Academy fell 19% between 2021 and 2024 (74 → 60).
Illinois · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Steven Papageorge Hair Academy
Chicago, Illinois. 68 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Steven Papageorge Hair Academy
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Steven Papageorge Hair Academy fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (6.8% → 0.0%).
-5pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 5 pp at Steven Papageorge Hair Academy vs the 2003–2007 baseline (70.0% vs 75.3%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Illinois
Each tile compares this institution to the Illinois median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$29,592+36% · 6→10y
Illinois median $40,810$21,758
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry70.0%+19% · '97→'09
Illinois median 53.3%—+375% · '97→'18
At program completion68-5% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS100.0%+16% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—±0% · '01→'02
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+16%
Steven Papageorge Hair Academy · retention rose
86.0% → 100.0%
+375%
Steven Papageorge Hair Academy · median debt rose
$2,000 → $9,500
-100%
Steven Papageorge Hair Academy · cohort default rate fell
14.8% → 0.0%
-45%
Steven Papageorge Hair Academy · pell share fell
50.8% → 27.9%
+90%
Steven Papageorge Hair Academy · earnings_median_10yr rose
$15,600 → $29,592
+26%
Steven Papageorge Hair Academy · earnings_median_8yr rose
$14,400 → $18,300
+50%
Steven Papageorge Hair Academy · earnings_median_6yr rose
$14,200 → $21,758
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Steven Papageorge Hair Academy
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Steven Papageorge Hair Academy(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Illinois
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Steven Papageorge Hair Academy graduates earn $X” — not “Steven Papageorge Hair Academy makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Steven Papageorge Hair Academy caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.