ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Purdue

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at Purdue University-Main Campus fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.8% → 0.0%).

PEER OUTLIER · TRENDING BETTER+51%

Public bachelor's-predominant peer

10-year earnings at Purdue University-Main Campus are 51% above the public bachelor's-predominant peer median ($72.4k vs $48.0k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+18%

Undergraduate enrollment

Undergraduate enrollment at Purdue University-Main Campus rose 18% between 2021 and 2024 (37.7k → 44.5k).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Indiana

Each tile compares this institution to the Indiana median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y

$72,424+19% · 6→10y

Indiana median $46,945

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y

$60,838

Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry

COMPLETION · 150%

83.1%+29% · '97→'24

Indiana median 60.7%

MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT

$15,000+344% · '97→'20

At program completion

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT

39,637+52% · '96→'24

latest IPEDS

RETENTION

92.0%+8% · '04→'24

first-time, full-time

ADMISSION RATE

50.3%-35% · '01→'24

latest cohort

IN-STATE TUITION

$9,992+158% · '00→'24

out-of-state $28,794

SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05

Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →

SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

2.8%

0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $15,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $72,424 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 1996–202444,503

Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF

COMPLETION 150% · 1997–202483.1%

150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR

MEDIAN DEBT · 1997–2020$19,500

Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD

COMPLETION · 150% · 1997→2024+29%

Purdue · completion · 150% rose

64.6% → 83.1%

COMPLETION · 100% · 1997→2024+123%

Purdue · completion · 100% rose

29.2% → 65.1%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 1996→2024+52%

Purdue · undergrad enrollment rose

29,269 → 44,503

IN-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+158%

Purdue · in-state tuition rose

$3,872 → $9,992

OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+123%

Purdue · out-of-state tuition rose

$12,904 → $28,794

MEDIAN DEBT · 1997→2020+344%

Purdue · median debt rose

$4,389 → $19,500

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 2011→2024-100%

Purdue · cohort default rate fell

2.8% → 0.0%

PELL SHARE · 2008→2024-21%

Purdue · pell share fell

16.5% → 13.0%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 2007→2020+38%

Purdue · earnings_median_10yr rose

$52,500 → $72,424

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 2005→2020+38%

Purdue · earnings_median_8yr rose

$48,500 → $66,951

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 2003→2020+40%

Purdue · earnings_median_6yr rose

$43,400 → $60,838

SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS

Ranked by 5-year earnings

Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.

Showing top 24 of 63 ranked programs.343 TOTAL PROGRAMS

SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY

63 programs with earnings, grouped

Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.

COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11

Computer Science.Bachelor's Degree$149,545476 grads Computer Software and Media Applications.Bachelor's Degree$54,013222 grads Computer and Information Sciences, General.Bachelor's Degree$94,597213 grads

EDUCATION · CIP 13

Education, General.Master's Degree$77,702116 grads Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.Bachelor's Degree$49,413105 grads Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.Bachelor's Degree$56,25058 grads

ENGINEERING · CIP 14

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Purdue

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Program

Family income

Discount rate · 5.0%

Horizon · 40 years

Apply Dale-Krueger selection shrinkage

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE

$976,096

Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%

BREAKEVEN

Year 1

First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero

Cost per year: $8,948
HS-only baseline · IN: $36,400
Years to complete: 1
CIP family: 52

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS

Same sector and degree mix in Indiana

Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.

BLOOMINGTON$63.7k

Purdue

3-year cohort default rate

Public bachelor's-predominant peer

Undergraduate enrollment

Institution-wide

Purdue · completion · 150% rose

Purdue · completion · 100% rose

Purdue · undergrad enrollment rose

Purdue · in-state tuition rose

Purdue · out-of-state tuition rose

Purdue · median debt rose

Purdue · cohort default rate fell

Purdue · pell share fell

Purdue · earnings_median_10yr rose

Purdue · earnings_median_8yr rose

Purdue · earnings_median_6yr rose

COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11

EDUCATION · CIP 13

ENGINEERING · CIP 14

ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15

FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19

ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23

LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24

BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26

MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS · CIP 27

PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31

PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40

PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42

SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45

TRANSPORTATION & MATERIALS MOVING · CIP 49

VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50

HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51

BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52

HISTORY · CIP 54

AGRICULTURE · CIP 01

NATURAL RESOURCES & CONSERVATION · CIP 03

COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09

IU Bloomington

Indiana University-Indianapolis

Ball State University

Indiana State University

Purdue University Northwest

“Purdue graduates earn $X” — not “Purdue makes you earn $X”