First-year retention
First-year retention at Graceland University-Lamoni fell 17% between 2021 and 2024 (66.0% → 55.0%).
Lamoni, Iowa. 901 undergraduate students. 54 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
First-year retention at Graceland University-Lamoni fell 17% between 2021 and 2024 (66.0% → 55.0%).
Undergraduate enrollment at Graceland University-Lamoni fell 13% between 2021 and 2024 (922 → 798).
150%-time completion at Graceland University-Lamoni fell 11% between 2021 and 2024 (47.4% → 41.9%).
150%-time completion fell 8 pp at Graceland University-Lamoni vs the 2018–2022 baseline (38.3% vs 46.7%).
Each tile compares this institution to the Iowa median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Median federal debt $14,209 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $47,361 (10y after entry).
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
26.9% → 36.3%
70.0% → 55.0%
2,028 → 798
$12,230 → $20,950
$12,230 → $20,950
$5,500 → $21,212
5.7% → 0.0%
27.5% → 49.2%
$38,900 → $47,361
$36,300 → $45,190
$32,500 → $40,792
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Graceland University-Lamoni caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.