-67%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Allure Beauty College fell 67% between 2021 and 2024 (42.9% → 14.3%).
Kentucky · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Allure Beauty College
Whitesburg, Kentucky. 25 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Allure Beauty College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-29%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Allure Beauty College fell 29% between 2021 and 2024 (24 → 17).
-26pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 26 pp at Allure Beauty College vs the 2003–2006 baseline (52.9% vs 78.8%).
-19%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Allure Beauty College fell 19% between 2005 and 2008 (100.0% → 81.2%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Kentucky
Each tile compares this institution to the Kentucky median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
—-17% · 6→8y
Kentucky median $37,114$16,088
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry52.9%+46% · '97→'08
Kentucky median 49.7%—
At program completion25-6% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS23.8%-83% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
+46%
Allure Beauty College · completion · 150% rose
55.6% → 81.3%
-83%
Allure Beauty College · retention fell
82.0% → 14.3%
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Allure Beauty College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Allure Beauty College(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Kentucky
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Allure Beauty College graduates earn $X” — not “Allure Beauty College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Allure Beauty College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.