-25%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Sullivan University fell 25% between 2006 and 2009 (89.0% → 66.7%).
Kentucky · Private for-profit · Predominantly associate's
Sullivan University
Louisville, Kentucky. 2,498 undergraduate students. 88 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Sullivan University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+15%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Sullivan University rose 15% between 2021 and 2024 ($13.5k → $15.5k).
+15%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Sullivan University rose 15% between 2021 and 2024 ($13.5k → $15.5k).
-12%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Sullivan University fell 12% between 2021 and 2024 (2.3k → 2.0k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Kentucky
Each tile compares this institution to the Kentucky median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$38,008+10% · 6→10y
Kentucky median $37,114$34,516
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry30.2%+56% · '97→'24
Kentucky median 49.7%$10,688+353% · '97→'20
At program completion2,498-7% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS—+11% · '04→'09
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$14,220+54% · '00→'24
out-of-state $14,220SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.7%Median federal debt $10,688 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $38,008 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+56%
Sullivan University · completion · 150% rose
45.6% → 71.0%
+95%
Sullivan University · completion · 100% rose
26.2% → 51.0%
+11%
Sullivan University · retention rose
60.0% → 66.7%
+54%
Sullivan University · in-state tuition rose
$10,080 → $15,480
+54%
Sullivan University · out-of-state tuition rose
$10,080 → $15,480
+353%
Sullivan University · median debt rose
$4,416 → $20,000
-100%
Sullivan University · cohort default rate fell
25.2% → 0.0%
+111%
Sullivan University · pell share rose
26.6% → 56.0%
+22%
Sullivan University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$28,400 → $34,516
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Pharmacy, Pharmaceutical Sciences, and Administration.$143,881Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$137,285Computer/Information Technology Administration and Management.$94,679Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$80,453Computer and Information Sciences, General.$77,362Computer and Information Sciences, General.$75,959Business Administration, Management and Operations.$73,359Human Resources Management and Services.$72,983Business/Commerce, General.$71,867Computer/Information Technology Administration and Management.$64,299Business, Management, Marketing, and Related Support Services, Other.$61,697Business/Commerce, General.$61,154Drafting/Design Engineering Technologies/Technicians.$60,258Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$60,081Human Resources Management and Services.$59,738Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$57,428Business Administration, Management and Operations.$56,095Accounting and Related Services.$55,812Business Administration, Management and Operations.$53,120Hospitality Administration/Management.$49,970Accounting and Related Services.$49,140Practical Nursing, Vocational Nursing and Nursing Assistants.$48,430Peace Studies and Conflict Resolution.$46,710Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$46,265
Showing top 24 of 38 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
38 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15
LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$80,453Pharmacy, Pharmaceutical Sciences, and Administration.$143,881Practical Nursing, Vocational Nursing and Nursing Assistants.$48,430Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$137,285Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$57,428Health and Medical Administrative Services.$40,577Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$46,265Allied Health and Medical Assisting Services.$35,560Health and Medical Administrative Services.$43,714Allied Health and Medical Assisting Services.$36,439Clinical/Medical Laboratory Science/Research and Allied Professions.$30,949Public Health.$46,002
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$73,359Business Administration, Management and Operations.$56,095Business/Commerce, General.$61,154Business Administration, Management and Operations.$53,120Human Resources Management and Services.$72,983Human Resources Management and Services.$59,738Accounting and Related Services.$49,140Accounting and Related Services.$55,812Hospitality Administration/Management.$49,970Hospitality Administration/Management.$31,159Business/Commerce, General.$71,867Business, Management, Marketing, and Related Support Services, Other.$61,697
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Sullivan University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$933,922
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 4
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $30,837
- HS-only baseline · KY
- $33,900
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Kentucky
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Sullivan University graduates earn $X” — not “Sullivan University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Sullivan University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.