-24%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 24% at Minnesota State University Moorhead vs the 2018–2022 baseline (3.1k vs 4.1k).
Minnesota · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Minnesota State University Moorhead
Moorhead, Minnesota. 3,120 undergraduate students. 105 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Minnesota State University Moorhead
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Minnesota State University Moorhead fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.7% → 0.0%).
-19%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Minnesota State University Moorhead fell 19% between 2021 and 2024 (3.8k → 3.1k).
+10%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Minnesota State University Moorhead rose 10% between 2021 and 2024 ($9.5k → $10.4k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Minnesota
Each tile compares this institution to the Minnesota median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$50,527+10% · 6→10y
Minnesota median $48,321$45,873
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry54.6%+44% · '97→'24
Minnesota median 54.7%$15,000+227% · '97→'20
At program completion3,120-45% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS72.4%+14% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time52.6%-33% · '01→'24
latest cohort$10,336+209% · '00→'24
out-of-state $10,336SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
4.0%Median federal debt $15,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $50,527 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+44%
Minnesota State University Moorhead · completion · 150% rose
39.9% → 57.3%
+111%
Minnesota State University Moorhead · completion · 100% rose
19.1% → 40.4%
+14%
Minnesota State University Moorhead · retention rose
66.0% → 75.0%
-45%
Minnesota State University Moorhead · undergrad enrollment fell
5,596 → 3,072
+209%
Minnesota State University Moorhead · in-state tuition rose
$3,378 → $10,428
+50%
Minnesota State University Moorhead · out-of-state tuition rose
$6,936 → $10,428
+227%
Minnesota State University Moorhead · median debt rose
$6,125 → $20,000
-100%
Minnesota State University Moorhead · cohort default rate fell
5.3% → 0.0%
+30%
Minnesota State University Moorhead · earnings_median_10yr rose
$38,900 → $50,527
+32%
Minnesota State University Moorhead · earnings_median_8yr rose
$36,200 → $47,860
+37%
Minnesota State University Moorhead · earnings_median_6yr rose
$33,400 → $45,873
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Construction Management.$93,175Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$88,205Educational Administration and Supervision.$66,545Accounting and Related Services.$66,436Biology, General.$62,152Curriculum and Instruction.$60,291Business Administration, Management and Operations.$60,288Finance and Financial Management Services.$57,924Sociology.$56,526Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$55,951Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$55,628Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$55,292Public Relations, Advertising, and Applied Communication.$54,974Criminal Justice and Corrections.$52,769Social Work.$52,122Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$50,414Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$49,812Legal Support Services.$46,591Design and Applied Arts.$46,027Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$45,886Film/Video and Photographic Arts.$45,680Communication and Media Studies.$45,103Psychology, General.$43,576Anthropology.$40,787
Showing top 24 of 26 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
26 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Minnesota State University Moorhead
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$370,207
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 11
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $14,544
- HS-only baseline · MN
- $39,400
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 52
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Minnesota
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Minnesota State University Moorhead graduates earn $X” — not “Minnesota State University Moorhead makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Minnesota State University Moorhead caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.