-26%
Private nonprofit bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at North Central University are 25% below the private nonprofit bachelor's-predominant peer median ($45.1k vs $60.5k).
Minnesota · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
North Central University
Minneapolis, Minnesota. 802 undergraduate students. 63 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at North Central University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+19%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at North Central University rose 18% between 2021 and 2024 ($27.2k → $32.2k).
+19%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at North Central University rose 18% between 2021 and 2024 ($27.2k → $32.2k).
-18%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at North Central University fell 18% between 2021 and 2024 (868 → 709).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Minnesota
Each tile compares this institution to the Minnesota median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$45,064+20% · 6→10y
Minnesota median $48,321$37,688
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry63.6%+3% · '98→'24
Minnesota median 54.7%$16,750+407% · '97→'20
At program completion802-30% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS77.5%+13% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time90.8%+9% · '01→'24
latest cohort$29,460+282% · '00→'24
out-of-state $29,460SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
5.0%Median federal debt $16,750 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $45,064 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+53%
North Central University · completion · 100% rose
37.2% → 56.9%
+13%
North Central University · retention rose
73.0% → 82.2%
-30%
North Central University · undergrad enrollment fell
1,008 → 709
+282%
North Central University · in-state tuition rose
$8,438 → $32,220
+282%
North Central University · out-of-state tuition rose
$8,438 → $32,220
+407%
North Central University · median debt rose
$4,574 → $23,200
-100%
North Central University · cohort default rate fell
6.7% → 0.0%
+33%
North Central University · pell share rose
32.0% → 42.6%
+42%
North Central University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$31,800 → $45,064
+43%
North Central University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$29,300 → $41,804
+39%
North Central University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$27,200 → $37,688
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$75,066Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$50,280Pastoral Counseling and Specialized Ministries.$44,697Human Development, Family Studies, and Related Services.$34,414Intercultural/Multicultural and Diversity Studies.$33,740
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
5 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
THEOLOGY & RELIGIOUS VOCATIONS · CIP 39
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at North Central University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$56,086
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 25
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $21,877
- HS-only baseline · MN
- $39,400
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 13
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Minnesota
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“North Central University graduates earn $X” — not “North Central University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending North Central University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.