-100%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Cox College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (50.0% → 0.0%).
Missouri · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Cox College
Springfield, Missouri. 634 undergraduate students. 19 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Cox College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Cox College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.8% → 0.0%).
-28%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Cox College fell 28% between 2021 and 2024 (749 → 540).
+18%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Cox College rose 18% between 2021 and 2024 ($12.6k → $14.8k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Missouri
Each tile compares this institution to the Missouri median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$56,867-3% · 6→10y
Missouri median $40,979$58,703
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry100.0%+233% · '97→'24
Missouri median 59.3%$18,000+227% · '97→'20
At program completion634+559% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS—-100% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time71.4%+427% · '01→'24
latest cohort$15,599+76% · '00→'09
out-of-state $15,599SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
4.2%Median federal debt $18,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $56,867 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+233%
Cox College · completion · 150% rose
30.0% → 100.0%
-100%
Cox College · retention fell
61.0% → 0.0%
+229%
Cox College · undergrad enrollment rose
82 → 540
+76%
Cox College · in-state tuition rose
$6,288 → $11,089
+136%
Cox College · out-of-state tuition rose
$6,288 → $14,822
+227%
Cox College · median debt rose
$6,125 → $20,000
-100%
Cox College · cohort default rate fell
6.9% → 0.0%
+34%
Cox College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$42,300 → $56,867
+32%
Cox College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$42,800 → $56,602
+43%
Cox College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$41,000 → $58,703
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$115,898Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$75,387Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$73,883Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$62,919Health and Medical Administrative Services.$55,622Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$52,265
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
6 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$75,387Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$62,919Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$115,898Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$52,265Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$73,883Health and Medical Administrative Services.$55,622
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Cox College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing · Bachelor's Degree at Cox College(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Missouri
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Cox College graduates earn $X” — not “Cox College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Cox College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.