ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Mizzou

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+18%

Out-of-state tuition

Out-of-state tuition at University of Missouri-Columbia rose 18% between 2021 and 2024 ($30.4k → $36.1k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at University of Missouri-Columbia fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.7% → 0.0%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+16%

In-state tuition

In-state tuition at University of Missouri-Columbia rose 16% between 2006 and 2009 ($7.3k → $8.5k).

PEER OUTLIER · TRENDING BETTER+30%

Public bachelor's-predominant peer

10-year earnings at University of Missouri-Columbia are 30% above the public bachelor's-predominant peer median ($63.4k vs $48.7k).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Missouri

Each tile compares this institution to the Missouri median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y

$63,403+20% · 6→10y

Missouri median $40,979

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y

$52,756

Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry

COMPLETION · 150%

76.2%+30% · '97→'24

Missouri median 59.3%

MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT

$16,500+198% · '97→'20

At program completion

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT

23,118+43% · '96→'24

latest IPEDS

RETENTION

91.3%+10% · '04→'24

first-time, full-time

ADMISSION RATE

77.0%-2% · '01→'24

latest cohort

IN-STATE TUITION

$14,130+92% · '00→'09

out-of-state $34,338

SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05

Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →

SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

3.5%

0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $16,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $63,403 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 1996–202423,929

Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF

COMPLETION 150% · 1997–202474.9%

150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR

MEDIAN DEBT · 1997–2020$20,500

Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD

COMPLETION · 150% · 1997→2024+30%

Mizzou · completion · 150% rose

57.5% → 74.9%

COMPLETION · 100% · 1997→2024+96%

Mizzou · completion · 100% rose

28.5% → 55.7%

RETENTION · 2004→2024+10%

Mizzou · retention rose

84.0% → 92.7%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 1996→2024+43%

Mizzou · undergrad enrollment rose

16,778 → 23,929

IN-STATE TUITION · 2000→2009+92%

Mizzou · in-state tuition rose

$4,436 → $8,501

OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+199%

Mizzou · out-of-state tuition rose

$12,060 → $36,056

MEDIAN DEBT · 1997→2020+198%

Mizzou · median debt rose

$6,884 → $20,500

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 2011→2024-100%

Mizzou · cohort default rate fell

3.9% → 0.0%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 2007→2020+35%

Mizzou · earnings_median_10yr rose

$47,100 → $63,403

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 2005→2020+35%

Mizzou · earnings_median_8yr rose

$43,100 → $58,213

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 2003→2020+38%

Mizzou · earnings_median_6yr rose

$38,100 → $52,756

SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS

Ranked by 5-year earnings

Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.

Showing top 24 of 73 ranked programs.323 TOTAL PROGRAMS

SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY

73 programs with earnings, grouped

Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Mizzou

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Program

Family income

Discount rate · 5.0%

Horizon · 40 years

Apply Dale-Krueger selection shrinkage

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE

$833,607

Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%

BREAKEVEN

Year 6

First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero

Cost per year: $15,707
HS-only baseline · MO: $35,100
Years to complete: 4
CIP family: 52

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS

Same sector and degree mix in Missouri

Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.

SPRINGFIELD$49.8k

Mizzou

Out-of-state tuition

3-year cohort default rate

In-state tuition

Public bachelor's-predominant peer

Institution-wide

Mizzou · completion · 150% rose

Mizzou · completion · 100% rose

Mizzou · retention rose

Mizzou · undergrad enrollment rose

Mizzou · in-state tuition rose

Mizzou · out-of-state tuition rose

Mizzou · median debt rose

Mizzou · cohort default rate fell

Mizzou · earnings_median_10yr rose

Mizzou · earnings_median_8yr rose

Mizzou · earnings_median_6yr rose

COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11

EDUCATION · CIP 13

ENGINEERING · CIP 14

FOREIGN LANGUAGES · CIP 16

FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19

LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22

ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23

LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24

BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26

MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30

PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31

PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40

PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42

PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44

SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45

VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50

HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51

BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52

HISTORY · CIP 54

AGRICULTURE · CIP 01

NATURAL RESOURCES & CONSERVATION · CIP 03

AREA, ETHNIC & CULTURAL STUDIES · CIP 05

COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09

Missouri State University-Springfield

University of Missouri-Kansas City

Southeast Missouri State University

University of Central Missouri

Missouri University of Science and Technology

“Mizzou graduates earn $X” — not “Mizzou makes you earn $X”