150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Lincoln Technical Institute-Iselin fell 35% between 2006 and 2009 (87.4% → 57.0%).
Iselin, New Jersey. 586 undergraduate students. 30 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
150%-time completion at Lincoln Technical Institute-Iselin fell 35% between 2006 and 2009 (87.4% → 57.0%).
150%-time completion fell 29 pp at Lincoln Technical Institute-Iselin vs the 2003–2007 baseline (51.4% vs 80.1%).
In-state tuition at Lincoln Technical Institute-Iselin rose 23% between 2005 and 2008 ($11.9k → $14.7k).
Out-of-state tuition at Lincoln Technical Institute-Iselin rose 23% between 2005 and 2008 ($11.9k → $14.7k).
Each tile compares this institution to the New Jersey median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Median federal debt $9,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $31,914 (10y after entry).
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
1,077 → 638
$11,133 → $14,713
$11,133 → $14,713
$4,968 → $10,521
31.0% → 0.0%
90.0% → 66.5%
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Lincoln Technical Institute-Iselin caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.