+33%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Union County Vocational Technical School rose 33% between 2006 and 2009 ($2.6k → $3.5k).
New Jersey · Public · Predominantly certificates
Union County Vocational Technical School
Scotch Plains, New Jersey. 60 undergraduate students. 4 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Union County Vocational Technical School
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Union County Vocational Technical School fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (10.8% → 0.0%).
-28%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Union County Vocational Technical School fell 28% between 2021 and 2024 (122 → 88).
+19%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Union County Vocational Technical School rose 19% between 2021 and 2024 (84.2% → 100.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. New Jersey
Each tile compares this institution to the New Jersey median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$37,590-4% · 6→10y
New Jersey median $46,742$39,218
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry96.3%+175% · '98→'04
New Jersey median 62.0%—+33% · '97→'09
At program completion60-88% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS100.0%+5% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—+22% · '01→'03
latest cohort—±0% · '01→'05
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+175%
Union County Vocational Technical School · completion · 150% rose
33.6% → 92.3%
-88%
Union County Vocational Technical School · undergrad enrollment fell
709 → 88
+33%
Union County Vocational Technical School · median debt rose
$2,625 → $3,500
-100%
Union County Vocational Technical School · cohort default rate fell
42.8% → 0.0%
+46%
Union County Vocational Technical School · pell share rose
17.6% → 25.7%
+31%
Union County Vocational Technical School · earnings_median_6yr rose
$30,000 → $39,218
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Union County Vocational Technical School
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Electrical and Power Transmission Installers · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Union County Vocational Technical School(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in New Jersey
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Union County Vocational Technical School graduates earn $X” — not “Union County Vocational Technical School makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Union County Vocational Technical School caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.