-42%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Empire State University fell 42% between 2006 and 2009 (26.7% → 15.6%).
New York · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Empire State University
Saratoga Springs, New York. 7,046 undergraduate students. 94 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Empire State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+106%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Empire State University rose 106% between 2021 and 2024 (13.8% → 28.4%).
+14%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Empire State University rose 14% between 2006 and 2009 ($4.6k → $5.2k).
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Empire State University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.6% → 0.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. New York
Each tile compares this institution to the New York median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$54,080+8% · 6→10y
New York median $48,917$50,167
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry29.3%-51% · '98→'09
New York median 64.2%$11,000+368% · '97→'20
At program completion7,046+23% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS46.0%+68% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—-21% · '01→'09
latest cohort$7,630+49% · '00→'09
out-of-state $17,540SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.7%Median federal debt $11,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $54,080 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-51%
Empire State University · completion · 150% fell
31.7% → 15.6%
+68%
Empire State University · retention rose
39.0% → 65.7%
+23%
Empire State University · undergrad enrollment rose
6,173 → 7,585
+49%
Empire State University · in-state tuition rose
$3,490 → $5,195
+109%
Empire State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$8,390 → $17,558
+368%
Empire State University · median debt rose
$4,000 → $18,730
-100%
Empire State University · cohort default rate fell
10.7% → 0.0%
+62%
Empire State University · pell share rose
22.7% → 36.8%
+41%
Empire State University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$35,700 → $50,167
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$103,577Business Administration, Management and Operations.$98,851Business Administration, Management and Operations.$81,491Biological and Physical Sciences.$78,664Public Administration and Social Service Professions, Other.$75,805Business/Commerce, General.$67,879English Language and Literature/Letters, Other.$57,572Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$53,804Education, General.$53,283Community Organization and Advocacy.$51,392Visual and Performing Arts, General.$51,084Community Organization and Advocacy.$48,453Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$48,295Psychology, General.$47,632Business/Commerce, General.$44,720
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
15 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Empire State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$510,790
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 8
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $11,882
- HS-only baseline · NY
- $40,100
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 52
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in New York
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Empire State University graduates earn $X” — not “Empire State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Empire State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.