New York · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's

Hilbert College

Hamburg, New York. 922 undergraduate students. 32 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Hilbert College

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+31%

In-state tuition

In-state tuition at Hilbert College rose 31% between 2021 and 2024 ($25.7k → $33.7k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-82%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at Hilbert College fell 82% between 2021 and 2024 (1.7% → 0.3%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+31%

Out-of-state tuition

Out-of-state tuition at Hilbert College rose 31% between 2021 and 2024 ($25.7k → $33.7k).

COMPLETION DROP · TRENDING WORSE-9pp

150%-time completion

150%-time completion fell 9 pp at Hilbert College vs the 2018–2022 baseline (47.0% vs 56.3%).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. New York

Each tile compares this institution to the New York median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$48,309+6% · 6→10y
New York median $48,917
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$45,369
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
47.0%+11% · '98→'24
New York median 64.2%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$15,000+215% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
922+6% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
63.1%-14% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
98.0%+3% · '05→'24
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$32,150+197% · '00→'24
out-of-state $32,150
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

4.1%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $15,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $48,309 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 19962024921
1,08071119962024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1998202456.3%
59%13%19982024
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020$24,750
$26,515$7,86319972020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 100% · 19982024+91%

Hilbert College · completion · 100% rose

25.0% → 47.7%

RETENTION · 20042024-14%

Hilbert College · retention fell

74.0% → 63.8%

IN-STATE TUITION · 20002024+197%

Hilbert College · in-state tuition rose

$11,350 → $33,740

OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 20002024+197%

Hilbert College · out-of-state tuition rose

$11,350 → $33,740

MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020+215%

Hilbert College · median debt rose

$7,863 → $24,750

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 20112024-98%

Hilbert College · cohort default rate fell

12.7% → 0.3%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20072020+27%

Hilbert College · earnings_median_10yr rose

$38,000 → $48,309

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 20052020+42%

Hilbert College · earnings_median_8yr rose

$34,500 → $48,876

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 20032020+49%

Hilbert College · earnings_median_6yr rose

$30,500 → $45,369

SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY

7 programs with earnings, grouped

Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.

PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42

HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43

PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44

BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52

COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Hilbert College

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE
$108,109
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 24
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
graduationbreakeven · year 24year 0year 39
Cost per year
$23,756
HS-only baseline · NY
$40,100
Years to complete
4
CIP family
43

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Hilbert College graduates earn $X” — not “Hilbert College makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Hilbert College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →