-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.7% → 0.0%).
New York · Public · Predominantly certificates
Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program
Newburgh, New York. 72 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+45%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program rose 45% between 2021 and 2024 (51 → 74).
+21%
Public certificate-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program are 21% above the public certificate-predominant peer median ($57.8k vs $47.7k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. New York
Each tile compares this institution to the New York median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$57,794+27% · 6→10y
New York median $48,917$45,634
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry100.0%+31% · '97→'09
New York median 64.2%$11,880+111% · '97→'16
At program completion72+90% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS100.0%+138% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time78.6%+63% · '05→'09
latest cohort—±0% · '01→'02
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.7%Median federal debt $11,880 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $57,794 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+31%
Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program · completion · 150% rose
70.3% → 92.1%
+138%
Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program · retention rose
42.0% → 100.0%
+111%
Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program · median debt rose
$5,625 → $11,880
-100%
Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program · cohort default rate fell
8.1% → 0.0%
+36%
Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program · pell share rose
45.9% → 62.5%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$207,173
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 9
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $26,290
- HS-only baseline · NY
- $40,100
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in New York
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program graduates earn $X” — not “Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.