-37pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 37 pp at St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island vs the 2003–2007 baseline (28.3% vs 64.9%).
New York · Private for-profit · Predominantly associate's
St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island
Staten Island, New York. 661 undergraduate students. 4 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+148%
For-profit associate's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island are 148% above the for-profit associate's-predominant peer median ($86.7k vs $35.0k).
+32%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island rose 32% between 2006 and 2009 ($12.9k → $17.1k).
+20%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island rose 20% between 2017 and 2020 ($21.5k → $25.7k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. New York
Each tile compares this institution to the New York median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$86,693+75% · 6→10y
New York median $48,917$49,515
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry28.3%+59% · '97→'09
New York median 64.2%$18,500+288% · '97→'20
At program completion661+475% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS51.2%+137% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—-27% · '01→'12
latest cohort$17,525+245% · '01→'09
out-of-state $17,525SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.8%Median federal debt $18,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $86,693 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+59%
St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island · completion · 150% rose
50.0% → 79.7%
+137%
St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island · retention rose
27.0% → 64.0%
+271%
St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island · undergrad enrollment rose
114 → 656
+245%
St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island · in-state tuition rose
$4,945 → $17,076
+254%
St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island · out-of-state tuition rose
$4,945 → $17,492
+288%
St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island · median debt rose
$6,625 → $25,729
-100%
St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island · cohort default rate fell
5.6% → 0.0%
+83%
St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island · pell share rose
28.1% → 51.3%
-36%
St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island · earnings_median_6yr fell
$77,800 → $49,515
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
3 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$1,310,017
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 4
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $42,474
- HS-only baseline · NY
- $40,100
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in New York
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island graduates earn $X” — not “St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending St Paul's School of Nursing-Staten Island caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.