-21%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 21% at SUNY Buffalo State University vs the 2018–2022 baseline (5.4k vs 6.8k).
New York · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
SUNY Buffalo State University
Buffalo, New York. 5,358 undergraduate students. 138 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at SUNY Buffalo State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-15%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at SUNY Buffalo State University fell 15% between 2021 and 2024 (6.0k → 5.1k).
-15%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at SUNY Buffalo State University fell 15% between 2021 and 2024 (26.9% → 22.8%).
+14%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at SUNY Buffalo State University rose 14% between 2006 and 2009 ($5.3k → $6.0k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. New York
Each tile compares this institution to the New York median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$52,334+28% · 6→10y
New York median $48,917$40,877
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry36.0%+11% · '97→'09
New York median 64.2%$12,500+282% · '97→'20
At program completion5,358-42% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS54.7%-26% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time75.9%-26% · '01→'09
latest cohort$8,486+50% · '00→'09
out-of-state $18,906SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.2%Median federal debt $12,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $52,334 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+61%
SUNY Buffalo State University · completion · 100% rose
14.1% → 22.8%
-26%
SUNY Buffalo State University · retention fell
78.0% → 57.7%
-42%
SUNY Buffalo State University · undergrad enrollment fell
8,763 → 5,097
+50%
SUNY Buffalo State University · in-state tuition rose
$4,003 → $6,007
+121%
SUNY Buffalo State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$8,903 → $19,653
+282%
SUNY Buffalo State University · median debt rose
$5,500 → $21,028
-100%
SUNY Buffalo State University · cohort default rate fell
11.1% → 0.0%
+53%
SUNY Buffalo State University · pell share rose
36.3% → 55.6%
+33%
SUNY Buffalo State University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$30,800 → $40,877
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Electrical Engineering Technologies/Technicians.$89,829Mechanical Engineering Related Technologies/Technicians.$86,786Industrial Production Technologies/Technicians.$74,319Information Science/Studies.$63,973Educational Administration and Supervision.$63,053Economics.$62,835Multi-/Interdisciplinary Studies, General.$61,856Special Education and Teaching.$57,261Business Administration, Management and Operations.$56,380Criminal Justice and Corrections.$56,366Special Education and Teaching.$53,972Dietetics and Clinical Nutrition Services.$52,622Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$51,866Curriculum and Instruction.$51,631Political Science and Government.$49,581Social Work.$49,513Communication, Journalism, and Related Programs, Other.$48,271Design and Applied Arts.$48,191Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$47,811Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$47,493Biology, General.$47,430Sociology.$47,196Geological and Earth Sciences/Geosciences.$46,453Psychology, General.$46,260
Showing top 24 of 33 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
33 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 10
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$47,493Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$51,866Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$47,811Curriculum and Instruction.$51,631Special Education and Teaching.$57,261Educational Administration and Supervision.$63,053Special Education and Teaching.$53,972
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
HISTORY · CIP 54
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at SUNY Buffalo State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$273,157
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 14
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $17,379
- HS-only baseline · NY
- $40,100
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 52
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in New York
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“SUNY Buffalo State University graduates earn $X” — not “SUNY Buffalo State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending SUNY Buffalo State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.