-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at North Carolina A & T State University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (4.8% → 0.0%).
North Carolina · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
NC A&T
Greensboro, North Carolina. 11,925 undergraduate students. 113 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at NC A&T
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+26%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at North Carolina A & T State University rose 26% between 2021 and 2024 (28.7% → 36.3%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. North Carolina
Each tile compares this institution to the North Carolina median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$44,440+21% · 6→10y
North Carolina median $36,030$36,638
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry55.3%+26% · '97→'24
North Carolina median 46.1%$20,909+517% · '97→'20
At program completion11,925+86% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS79.5%+6% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time46.2%-30% · '01→'24
latest cohort$6,748+251% · '00→'24
out-of-state $20,408SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
6.3%Median federal debt $20,909 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $44,440 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+26%
NC A&T · completion · 150% rose
45.4% → 57.2%
+94%
NC A&T · completion · 100% rose
18.7% → 36.3%
+86%
NC A&T · undergrad enrollment rose
6,549 → 12,182
+251%
NC A&T · in-state tuition rose
$1,939 → $6,813
+124%
NC A&T · out-of-state tuition rose
$9,209 → $20,673
+517%
NC A&T · median debt rose
$4,375 → $27,000
-100%
NC A&T · cohort default rate fell
13.5% → 0.0%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Industrial Engineering.$91,914Electrical, Electronics and Communications Engineering.$89,227Engineering Technologies/Technicians, Other.$88,537Mechanical Engineering.$87,420Chemical Engineering.$87,314Electrical Engineering Technologies/Technicians.$86,427Computer Science.$81,421Architectural Engineering.$76,509Civil Engineering.$76,058Accounting and Related Services.$73,215Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$65,877Business Administration, Management and Operations.$60,082Marketing.$58,266Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$57,664Social Work.$57,093Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$54,960Economics.$54,049Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$52,502Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$50,361Industrial Production Technologies/Technicians.$48,795Animal Sciences.$48,691Biology, General.$48,308Communication and Media Studies.$47,049Criminal Justice and Corrections.$45,469
Showing top 24 of 35 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
35 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
ENGINEERING · CIP 14
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
AGRICULTURE · CIP 01
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at NC A&T
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$83,902
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 23
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $13,024
- HS-only baseline · NC
- $35,600
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in North Carolina
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“NC A&T graduates earn $X” — not “NC A&T makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending NC A&T caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.