-18%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at North Carolina Central University fell 18% between 2021 and 2024 (50.8% → 41.6%).
North Carolina · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
NCCU
Durham, North Carolina. 5,400 undergraduate students. 68 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at NCCU
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at North Carolina Central University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (4.1% → 0.0%).
+14%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at North Carolina Central University rose 14% between 2021 and 2024 (5.3k → 6.1k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. North Carolina
Each tile compares this institution to the North Carolina median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$42,968+19% · 6→10y
North Carolina median $36,030$35,967
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry46.0%-8% · '97→'24
North Carolina median 46.1%$22,000+326% · '97→'20
At program completion5,400+57% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS75.4%-7% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time90.5%+17% · '01→'24
latest cohort$6,542+193% · '00→'24
out-of-state $19,578SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
6.8%Median federal debt $22,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $42,968 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+50%
NCCU · completion · 100% rose
17.5% → 26.2%
+57%
NCCU · undergrad enrollment rose
3,869 → 6,081
+193%
NCCU · in-state tuition rose
$2,290 → $6,699
+103%
NCCU · out-of-state tuition rose
$9,712 → $19,735
+326%
NCCU · median debt rose
$6,625 → $28,250
-100%
NCCU · cohort default rate fell
14.9% → 0.0%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Pharmacy, Pharmaceutical Sciences, and Administration.$92,624Information Science/Studies.$81,747Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$79,100Law.$74,587Educational Administration and Supervision.$71,038Business Administration, Management and Operations.$70,214Public Administration.$65,070Computer Programming.$62,119Accounting and Related Services.$62,109Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$60,597Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions.$56,223Social Work.$54,375Biology, General.$53,779Library Science and Administration.$52,313Romance Languages, Literatures, and Linguistics.$50,688Business Administration, Management and Operations.$50,247Political Science and Government.$48,987Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$48,784Family and Consumer Sciences/Human Sciences, General.$48,103English Language and Literature, General.$48,054Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$47,639Criminal Justice and Corrections.$45,281Social Work.$45,179Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$44,445
Showing top 24 of 29 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
29 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
FOREIGN LANGUAGES · CIP 16
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
LIBRARY SCIENCE · CIP 25
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
HISTORY · CIP 54
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at NCCU
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$126,794
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 20
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $17,688
- HS-only baseline · NC
- $35,600
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 43
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in North Carolina
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“NCCU graduates earn $X” — not “NCCU makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending NCCU caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.