-30%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Vance-Granville Community College fell 30% between 2006 and 2009 (23.7% → 16.5%).
North Carolina · Public · Predominantly associate's
Vance-Granville Community College
Henderson, North Carolina. 1,613 undergraduate students. 43 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Vance-Granville Community College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Vance-Granville Community College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (7.6% → 0.0%).
-50%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Vance-Granville Community College fell 50% between 2013 and 2016 ($9.5k → $4.8k).
+33%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Vance-Granville Community College rose 33% between 2021 and 2024 (56.7% → 75.6%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. North Carolina
Each tile compares this institution to the North Carolina median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$34,304+15% · 6→10y
North Carolina median $36,030$29,763
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry47.2%-45% · '97→'09
North Carolina median 46.1%$4,750+90% · '97→'16
At program completion1,613+31% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS71.4%+38% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$1,956+141% · '00→'24
out-of-state $6,564SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
1.8%Median federal debt $4,750 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $34,304 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-45%
Vance-Granville Community College · completion · 150% fell
30.0% → 16.5%
+38%
Vance-Granville Community College · retention rose
55.0% → 75.6%
+31%
Vance-Granville Community College · undergrad enrollment rose
1,272 → 1,665
+114%
Vance-Granville Community College · in-state tuition rose
$808 → $1,944
+37%
Vance-Granville Community College · out-of-state tuition rose
$4,791 → $6,552
+90%
Vance-Granville Community College · median debt rose
$2,500 → $4,750
+29%
Vance-Granville Community College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$26,500 → $34,304
+36%
Vance-Granville Community College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$23,800 → $32,412
+42%
Vance-Granville Community College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$20,900 → $29,763
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$81,139Practical Nursing, Vocational Nursing and Nursing Assistants.$62,202Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$61,439Criminal Justice and Corrections.$47,225Criminal Justice and Corrections.$42,453Business Administration, Management and Operations.$40,677Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$33,212Health and Medical Administrative Services.$30,731Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$27,556Health and Medical Administrative Services.$26,695
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
10 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$81,139Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$61,439Practical Nursing, Vocational Nursing and Nursing Assistants.$62,202Health and Medical Administrative Services.$26,695Health and Medical Administrative Services.$30,731
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Vance-Granville Community College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$20,127
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $4,860
- HS-only baseline · NC
- $35,600
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in North Carolina
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Vance-Granville Community College graduates earn $X” — not “Vance-Granville Community College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Vance-Granville Community College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.