Ohio · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's

Antioch University

Yellow Springs, Ohio. 107 undergraduate students. 53 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Antioch University

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-44%

Undergraduate enrollment

Undergraduate enrollment at Antioch University fell 44% between 2021 and 2024 (137 → 77).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at Antioch University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.5% → 0.0%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-10%

Median federal debt at exit

Median federal debt at exit at Antioch University fell 10% between 2017 and 2020 ($26.2k → $23.5k).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Ohio

Each tile compares this institution to the Ohio median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$51,541+7% · 6→10y
Ohio median $41,039
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$47,986
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
Ohio median 62.5%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$17,103+132% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
107-67% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
annual
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

4.4%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $17,103 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $51,541 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 1996202477
233019962024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020$23,501
$29,212$8,59219972020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 19962024-67%

Antioch University · undergrad enrollment fell

233 → 77

MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020+132%

Antioch University · median debt rose

$10,124 → $23,501

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 20112024-100%

Antioch University · cohort default rate fell

7.6% → 0.0%

PELL SHARE · 20082024-26%

Antioch University · pell share fell

59.8% → 44.4%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20072020+30%

Antioch University · earnings_median_10yr rose

$39,700 → $51,541

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 20052020+35%

Antioch University · earnings_median_8yr rose

$34,700 → $46,844

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 20032020+50%

Antioch University · earnings_median_6yr rose

$31,900 → $47,986

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Antioch University

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

EARNINGS SUPPRESSED

Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities · Bachelor's Degree at Antioch University(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Antioch University graduates earn $X” — not “Antioch University makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Antioch University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →