-22%
Public certificate-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center are 22% below the public certificate-predominant peer median ($31.8k vs $40.5k).
Ohio · Public · Predominantly certificates
Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center
Ashland, Ohio. 35 undergraduate students. 10 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.2% → 0.0%).
-13%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center fell 13% between 2021 and 2024 (47 → 41).
+14%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center rose 13% between 2006 and 2009 (82.1% → 93.2%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Ohio
Each tile compares this institution to the Ohio median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$31,791+5% · 6→10y
Ohio median $41,039$30,287
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry85.7%+34% · '02→'09
Ohio median 62.5%$3,666+13% · '09→'18
At program completion35
latest IPEDS100.0%+1% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
1.5%Median federal debt $3,666 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $31,791 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+34%
Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center · completion · 150% rose
69.7% → 93.2%
+21%
Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center · undergrad enrollment rose
0 → 41
+69%
Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center · pell share rose
28.3% → 47.7%
+55%
Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center · earnings_median_6yr rose
$19,500 → $30,287
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Heating, Air Conditioning, Ventilation and Refrigeration Maintenance Technology/Technician (HAC, HACR, HVAC, HVACR) · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Ohio
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center graduates earn $X” — not “Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Ashland County-West Holmes Career Center caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.