+76%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Choffin Career and Technical Center rose 76% between 2021 and 2024 ($8.2k → $14.4k).
Ohio · Public · Predominantly certificates
Choffin Career and Technical Center
Youngstown, Ohio. 73 undergraduate students. 7 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Choffin Career and Technical Center
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-35%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Choffin Career and Technical Center fell 35% between 2017 and 2020 ($8.5k → $5.5k).
+76%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Choffin Career and Technical Center rose 76% between 2021 and 2024 ($8.2k → $14.4k).
-10pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 10 pp at Choffin Career and Technical Center vs the 2003–2007 baseline (71.6% vs 81.7%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Ohio
Each tile compares this institution to the Ohio median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$34,654+0% · 6→10y
Ohio median $41,039$34,559
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry71.6%-5% · '97→'09
Ohio median 62.5%$5,500+48% · '97→'20
At program completion73-92% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS100.0%+33% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$12,889+527% · '02→'24
out-of-state $12,889SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.1%Median federal debt $5,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $34,654 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+33%
Choffin Career and Technical Center · retention rose
75.0% → 100.0%
-92%
Choffin Career and Technical Center · undergrad enrollment fell
608 → 50
+527%
Choffin Career and Technical Center · in-state tuition rose
$2,300 → $14,415
+527%
Choffin Career and Technical Center · out-of-state tuition rose
$2,300 → $14,415
+48%
Choffin Career and Technical Center · median debt rose
$3,717 → $5,500
-100%
Choffin Career and Technical Center · cohort default rate fell
2.0% → 0.0%
+29%
Choffin Career and Technical Center · pell share rose
63.7% → 81.9%
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Choffin Career and Technical Center
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$231,306
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $11,689
- HS-only baseline · OH
- $36,400
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Ohio
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Choffin Career and Technical Center graduates earn $X” — not “Choffin Career and Technical Center makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Choffin Career and Technical Center caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.