-28%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 27% at Mercy College of Ohio vs the 2018–2022 baseline (982 vs 1.4k).
Ohio · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Mercy College of Ohio
Toledo, Ohio. 982 undergraduate students. 25 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Mercy College of Ohio
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+284%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Mercy College of Ohio rose 284% between 2021 and 2024 (4.2% → 16.0%).
-23%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Mercy College of Ohio fell 23% between 2021 and 2024 (1.2k → 939).
-15%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Mercy College of Ohio fell 15% between 2006 and 2009 (50.0% → 42.4%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Ohio
Each tile compares this institution to the Ohio median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$65,409+6% · 6→10y
Ohio median $41,039$61,877
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry44.6%-50% · '98→'09
Ohio median 62.5%$15,084+138% · '97→'20
At program completion982+416% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS85.7%+22% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time42.8%+23% · '01→'24
latest cohort$18,950+274% · '00→'24
out-of-state $18,950SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.1%Median federal debt $15,084 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $65,409 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-50%
Mercy College of Ohio · completion · 150% fell
85.3% → 42.4%
+22%
Mercy College of Ohio · retention rose
71.0% → 86.7%
+379%
Mercy College of Ohio · undergrad enrollment rose
182 → 939
+274%
Mercy College of Ohio · in-state tuition rose
$5,203 → $19,470
+274%
Mercy College of Ohio · out-of-state tuition rose
$5,203 → $19,470
+138%
Mercy College of Ohio · median debt rose
$8,750 → $20,834
-100%
Mercy College of Ohio · cohort default rate fell
6.2% → 0.0%
+35%
Mercy College of Ohio · earnings_median_10yr rose
$48,400 → $65,409
+22%
Mercy College of Ohio · earnings_median_6yr rose
$50,900 → $61,877
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$73,429Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$72,929Health Services/Allied Health/Health Sciences, General.$62,557Health and Medical Administrative Services.$62,329Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$57,036
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
5 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$72,929Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$73,429Health Services/Allied Health/Health Sciences, General.$62,557Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$57,036Health and Medical Administrative Services.$62,329
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Mercy College of Ohio
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$758,346
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 3
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $15,609
- HS-only baseline · OH
- $36,400
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Ohio
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Mercy College of Ohio graduates earn $X” — not “Mercy College of Ohio makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Mercy College of Ohio caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.