Dayton, Ohio. 12,585 undergraduate students. 154 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
UNITID 205470 · OPEID 003119 · IPEDS HDVINTAGE · COLLEGE SCORECARD · 2025-05 · HISTORY 1996–2024
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Sinclair Community College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Sinclair Community College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.9% → 0.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Ohio
Each tile compares this institution to the Ohio median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$37,558+11% · 6→10y
Ohio median $41,039
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$33,821
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
31.9%-5% · '97→'09
Ohio median 62.5%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$5,500+387% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
12,585-10% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
100.0%+9% · '04→'09
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
—
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$3,435+53% · '00→'09
out-of-state $8,316
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.0%
0%8% · GE20%+
Median federal debt $5,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $37,558 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
UNDERGRAD · 1996–202413,308
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1997–20098.6%
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 1997–2020$12,000
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
IN-STATE TUITION · 2000→2009+53%
Sinclair Community College · in-state tuition rose
$1,060 → $1,620
OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+192%
Sinclair Community College · out-of-state tuition rose
$2,932 → $8,556
MEDIAN DEBT · 1997→2020+387%
Sinclair Community College · median debt rose
$2,466 → $12,000
COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 2011→2024-100%
Sinclair Community College · cohort default rate fell
20.4% → 0.0%
PELL SHARE · 2008→2024+28%
Sinclair Community College · pell share rose
24.3% → 31.1%
EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 2007→2020+27%
Sinclair Community College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$29,500 → $37,558
EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 2005→2020+23%
Sinclair Community College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$28,600 → $35,083
EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 2003→2020+28%
Sinclair Community College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$26,500 → $33,821
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Estimate the financial outcome at Sinclair Community College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$106,350
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 16
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
Cost per year
$6,703
HS-only baseline · OH
$36,400
Years to complete
2
CIP family
24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Ohio
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
“Sinclair Community College graduates earn $X” — not “Sinclair Community College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Sinclair Community College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.