-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Paul Mitchell the School-Tulsa fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.9% → 0.0%).
Oklahoma · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Paul Mitchell the School-Tulsa
Tulsa, Oklahoma. 249 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Paul Mitchell the School-Tulsa
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Oklahoma
Each tile compares this institution to the Oklahoma median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
—
Oklahoma median $38,465$20,371
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry63.0%
Oklahoma median 52.9%$9,822+8% · '15→'20
At program completion249
latest IPEDS73.0%+76% · '15→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+76%
Paul Mitchell the School-Tulsa · retention rose
50.0% → 87.8%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Paul Mitchell the School-Tulsa
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$280,299
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $23,083
- HS-only baseline · OK
- $33,800
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 12
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Oklahoma
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Paul Mitchell the School-Tulsa graduates earn $X” — not “Paul Mitchell the School-Tulsa makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Paul Mitchell the School-Tulsa caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.