Oklahoma · Public · Predominantly associate's

Seminole State College

Seminole, Oklahoma. 1,076 undergraduate students. 25 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Seminole State College

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

PEER OUTLIER · WARNING-8%

Public associate's-predominant peer

10-year earnings at Seminole State College are 7% below the public associate's-predominant peer median ($35.4k vs $38.2k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at Seminole State College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.5% → 0.0%).

ENROLLMENT CLIFF · TRENDING WORSE-41%

Undergraduate enrollment

Undergraduate enrollment fell 41% at Seminole State College vs the 2003–2007 baseline (1.1k vs 1.8k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-26%

150%-time completion

150%-time completion at Seminole State College fell 26% between 2006 and 2009 (27.2% → 20.2%).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Oklahoma

Each tile compares this institution to the Oklahoma median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$35,390+10% · 6→10y
Oklahoma median $38,465
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$32,149
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
28.9%+3% · '97→'09
Oklahoma median 52.9%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$8,033+319% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
1,076+59% · '96→'09
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
62.7%+24% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$5,460+274% · '00→'24
out-of-state $11,790
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

3.0%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $8,033 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $35,390 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 199620092,275
2,2751,42719962009
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1997200920.2%
30%17%19972009
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020$11,000
$11,286$2,27619972020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
RETENTION · 20042024+24%

Seminole State College · retention rose

44.0% → 54.8%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 19962009+59%

Seminole State College · undergrad enrollment rose

1,427 → 2,275

IN-STATE TUITION · 20002024+274%

Seminole State College · in-state tuition rose

$1,461 → $5,460

OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 20002024+238%

Seminole State College · out-of-state tuition rose

$3,486 → $11,790

MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020+319%

Seminole State College · median debt rose

$2,625 → $11,000

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 20112024-100%

Seminole State College · cohort default rate fell

27.9% → 0.0%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20072020+21%

Seminole State College · earnings_median_10yr rose

$29,200 → $35,390

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 20052020+34%

Seminole State College · earnings_median_8yr rose

$24,700 → $33,002

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 20032020+37%

Seminole State College · earnings_median_6yr rose

$23,500 → $32,149

SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY

5 programs with earnings, grouped

Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.

LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24

BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26

PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42

HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51

BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Seminole State College

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE
$320,928
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 6
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
graduationbreakeven · year 6year 0year 39
Cost per year
$15,777
HS-only baseline · OK
$33,800
Years to complete
2
CIP family
26

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Seminole State College graduates earn $X” — not “Seminole State College makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Seminole State College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →