-27%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at College of Hair Design Careers fell 27% between 2021 and 2024 (79 → 58).
Oregon · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
College of Hair Design Careers
Salem, Oregon. 66 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at College of Hair Design Careers
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-20%
Earnings trend · post-entry horizons
Earnings 10 years post-entry at College of Hair Design Careers are 20% below 6-year earnings ($29.8k → $23.9k).
-6pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 6 pp at College of Hair Design Careers vs the 2003–2007 baseline (63.2% vs 69.2%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Oregon
Each tile compares this institution to the Oregon median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$23,915-20% · 6→10y
Oregon median $40,968$29,780
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry63.2%+86% · '97→'09
Oregon median 57.5%$8,481+99% · '00→'20
At program completion66+38% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS85.2%-7% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—±0% · '01→'11
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
4.7%Median federal debt $8,481 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $23,915 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+86%
College of Hair Design Careers · completion · 150% rose
36.5% → 67.8%
+99%
College of Hair Design Careers · median debt rose
$5,401 → $10,750
-100%
College of Hair Design Careers · cohort default rate fell
21.2% → 0.0%
+83%
College of Hair Design Careers · pell share rose
23.5% → 43.0%
+73%
College of Hair Design Careers · earnings_median_10yr rose
$12,900 → $23,915
+79%
College of Hair Design Careers · earnings_median_8yr rose
$11,500 → $23,351
+113%
College of Hair Design Careers · earnings_median_6yr rose
$12,900 → $29,780
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at College of Hair Design Careers
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at College of Hair Design Careers(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Oregon
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“College of Hair Design Careers graduates earn $X” — not “College of Hair Design Careers makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending College of Hair Design Careers caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.