-13%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Pacific University fell 13% between 2021 and 2024 (63.7% → 55.1%).
Oregon · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Pacific University
Forest Grove, Oregon. 1,556 undergraduate students. 86 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Pacific University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Pacific University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.5% → 0.0%).
+13%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Pacific University rose 13% between 2021 and 2024 ($50.1k → $56.4k).
+13%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Pacific University rose 13% between 2021 and 2024 ($50.1k → $56.4k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Oregon
Each tile compares this institution to the Oregon median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$60,583+29% · 6→10y
Oregon median $40,968$46,936
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry64.8%+31% · '97→'24
Oregon median 57.5%$17,036+125% · '97→'20
At program completion1,556+39% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS76.3%-3% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time91.8%+9% · '01→'24
latest cohort$54,466+217% · '00→'24
out-of-state $54,466SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.7%Median federal debt $17,036 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $60,583 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+31%
Pacific University · completion · 150% rose
51.0% → 67.0%
+55%
Pacific University · completion · 100% rose
35.6% → 55.1%
+39%
Pacific University · undergrad enrollment rose
1,094 → 1,516
+217%
Pacific University · in-state tuition rose
$17,804 → $56,374
+217%
Pacific University · out-of-state tuition rose
$17,804 → $56,374
+125%
Pacific University · median debt rose
$10,315 → $23,223
-100%
Pacific University · cohort default rate fell
3.5% → 0.0%
+33%
Pacific University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$45,400 → $60,583
+34%
Pacific University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$40,400 → $54,158
+38%
Pacific University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$33,900 → $46,936
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Pharmacy, Pharmaceutical Sciences, and Administration.$151,770Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$130,192Optometry.$123,079Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$103,552Health and Medical Administrative Services.$93,653Dental Support Services and Allied Professions.$86,554Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$85,880Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$84,863Rehabilitation and Therapeutic Professions.$84,261Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$64,177Public Health.$62,105Business Administration, Management and Operations.$61,140Biology, General.$61,102Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$57,220Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$56,664Psychology, General.$53,506Education, General.$50,071
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
17 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$130,192Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$64,177Dental Support Services and Allied Professions.$86,554Health and Medical Administrative Services.$93,653Public Health.$62,105Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$85,880Optometry.$123,079Pharmacy, Pharmaceutical Sciences, and Administration.$151,770Rehabilitation and Therapeutic Professions.$84,261
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Pacific University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$520,557
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 13
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $28,427
- HS-only baseline · OR
- $38,420
- Years to complete
- 6
- CIP family
- 42
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Oregon
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Pacific University graduates earn $X” — not “Pacific University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Pacific University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.