-25%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Allegheny College fell 25% between 2021 and 2024 (1.5k → 1.2k).
Pennsylvania · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Allegheny College
Meadville, Pennsylvania. 1,209 undergraduate students. 35 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Allegheny College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Allegheny College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.3% → 0.0%).
-24%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 24% at Allegheny College vs the 2018–2022 baseline (1.2k vs 1.6k).
+19%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Allegheny College rose 19% between 2006 and 2009 ($28.3k → $33.6k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Pennsylvania
Each tile compares this institution to the Pennsylvania median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$62,069+36% · 6→10y
Pennsylvania median $49,859$45,603
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry66.5%+6% · '97→'09
Pennsylvania median 66.1%$25,017+88% · '97→'20
At program completion1,209-38% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS84.4%-10% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time58.5%-31% · '01→'24
latest cohort$54,960+162% · '00→'24
out-of-state $54,960SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
5.4%Median federal debt $25,017 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $62,069 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-10%
Allegheny College · retention fell
87.0% → 77.9%
-38%
Allegheny College · undergrad enrollment fell
1,855 → 1,156
+162%
Allegheny College · in-state tuition rose
$21,570 → $56,550
+56%
Allegheny College · out-of-state tuition rose
$21,570 → $33,560
+88%
Allegheny College · median debt rose
$14,375 → $27,000
-100%
Allegheny College · cohort default rate fell
5.5% → 0.0%
+52%
Allegheny College · pell share rose
18.7% → 28.5%
+32%
Allegheny College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$47,000 → $62,069
+32%
Allegheny College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$42,800 → $56,341
+32%
Allegheny College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$34,500 → $45,603
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Physics.$75,370Economics.$71,243Biology, General.$68,667Communication and Media Studies.$62,082Political Science and Government.$60,817Romance Languages, Literatures, and Linguistics.$57,042History.$55,059Neurobiology and Neurosciences.$50,858Psychology, General.$50,744Natural Resources Conservation and Research.$50,086English Language and Literature, General.$47,913
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
11 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
FOREIGN LANGUAGES · CIP 16
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
HISTORY · CIP 54
NATURAL RESOURCES & CONSERVATION · CIP 03
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Allegheny College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$178,635
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 17
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $15,476
- HS-only baseline · PA
- $38,100
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 03
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Pennsylvania
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Allegheny College graduates earn $X” — not “Allegheny College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Allegheny College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.