-32%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 32% at University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo vs the 2003–2007 baseline (2.8k vs 4.1k).
Puerto Rico · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo
Arecibo, Puerto Rico. 2,788 undergraduate students. 22 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.0% → 0.0%).
+56%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo rose 56% between 2021 and 2024 (9.5% → 14.8%).
+16%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo rose 16% between 2021 and 2024 (44.8% → 52.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Puerto Rico
Each tile compares this institution to the Puerto Rico median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$30,512+56% · 6→10y
Puerto Rico median $23,370$19,546
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry50.7%+51% · '97→'24
Puerto Rico median 52.5%$4,500+29% · '97→'20
At program completion2,788-6% · '96→'09
latest IPEDS78.8%+0% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time62.3%-14% · '02→'24
latest cohort$5,324+330% · '02→'24
out-of-state $5,324SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.0%Median federal debt $4,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $30,512 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+51%
University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo · completion · 150% rose
34.5% → 52.0%
+39%
University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo · completion · 100% rose
10.6% → 14.8%
+330%
University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo · in-state tuition rose
$1,245 → $5,354
+330%
University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo · out-of-state tuition rose
$1,245 → $5,354
+29%
University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo · median debt rose
$3,500 → $4,500
-100%
University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo · cohort default rate fell
12.5% → 0.0%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Computer and Information Sciences, General.$44,696Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$36,699Industrial Production Technologies/Technicians.$34,307Microbiological Sciences and Immunology.$32,364Accounting and Related Services.$27,629Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$27,083Business Administration, Management and Operations.$26,635Veterinary/Animal Health Technologies/Technicians.$25,108Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$24,402Audiovisual Communications Technologies/Technicians.$23,750Business Operations Support and Assistant Services.$22,101Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$20,730
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
12 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 10
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
AGRICULTURE · CIP 01
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$137,260
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 15
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $13,259
- HS-only baseline · PR
- $22,400
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 26
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Puerto Rico
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo graduates earn $X” — not “University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending University of Puerto Rico-Arecibo caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.