-30pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 30 pp at Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia vs the 2003–2007 baseline (50.0% vs 79.5%).
South Carolina · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia
Columbia, South Carolina. 124 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.2% → 0.0%).
+33%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia rose 33% between 2021 and 2024 (75.0% → 100.0%).
+27%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia rose 27% between 2021 and 2024 (100 → 127).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. South Carolina
Each tile compares this institution to the South Carolina median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$25,088+34% · 6→10y
South Carolina median $39,325$18,684
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry50.0%-4% · '97→'09
South Carolina median 44.4%$5,775+171% · '03→'20
At program completion124+127% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS70.0%+27% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—+59% · '02→'07
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.1%Median federal debt $5,775 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $25,088 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+27%
Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia · retention rose
79.0% → 100.0%
+36%
Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia · undergrad enrollment rose
56 → 127
+171%
Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia · median debt rose
$2,164 → $5,858
-100%
Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia · cohort default rate fell
7.0% → 0.0%
+48%
Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia · earnings_median_10yr rose
$16,900 → $25,088
+34%
Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia · earnings_median_8yr rose
$17,500 → $23,376
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$173,974
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $17,562
- HS-only baseline · SC
- $33,700
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 12
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in South Carolina
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia graduates earn $X” — not “Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Kenneth Shuler School of Cosmetology and Nails-Columbia caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.