-17%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Kairos University fell 17% between 2021 and 2022 (80.0% → 66.7%).
South Dakota · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Kairos University
Sioux Falls, South Dakota. 36 undergraduate students. 10 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Kairos University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+128%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Kairos University rose 128% between 2021 and 2024 (36 → 82).
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Kairos University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.7% → 0.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. South Dakota
Each tile compares this institution to the South Dakota median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
—
South Dakota median $46,709—
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry—
South Dakota median 59.6%—
At program completion36+413% · '20→'24
latest IPEDS—-17% · '21→'22
first-time, full-time74.3%+36% · '21→'24
latest cohort—±0% · '20→'24
annualSECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
-17%
Kairos University · retention fell
80.0% → 66.7%
+33%
Kairos University · undergrad enrollment rose
16 → 82
-100%
Kairos University · cohort default rate fell
8.5% → 0.0%
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Kairos University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Theological and Ministerial Studies · Master's Degree at Kairos University(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in South Dakota
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Kairos University graduates earn $X” — not “Kairos University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Kairos University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.