+92%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville rose 92% between 2000 and 2003 ($1.3k → $2.5k).
Tennessee · Public · Predominantly certificates
Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville
McMinnville, Tennessee. 289 undergraduate students. 11 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+34%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville rose 34% between 2021 and 2024 (62.5% → 83.6%).
-10%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville fell 10% between 2021 and 2024 (336 → 302).
+28%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville rose 28% between 2006 and 2009 (67.8% → 86.5%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Tennessee
Each tile compares this institution to the Tennessee median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$40,322+4% · 6→10y
Tennessee median $38,880$38,759
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry66.7%+243% · '97→'09
Tennessee median 57.6%—+92% · '00→'03
At program completion289+120% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS80.5%+10% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+243%
Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville · completion · 150% rose
25.2% → 86.5%
+10%
Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville · retention rose
76.0% → 83.6%
+83%
Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville · undergrad enrollment rose
137 → 302
+92%
Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville · median debt rose
$1,313 → $2,526
-62%
Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville · pell share fell
78.1% → 29.3%
+85%
Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville · earnings_median_10yr rose
$21,800 → $40,322
+39%
Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville · earnings_median_8yr rose
$24,400 → $33,853
+80%
Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville · earnings_median_6yr rose
$21,500 → $38,759
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
2 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
MECHANIC & REPAIR TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 47
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$661,872
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 1
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $7,786
- HS-only baseline · TN
- $34,600
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 47
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Tennessee
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville graduates earn $X” — not “Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Tennessee College of Applied Technology-McMinnville caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.