+16%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Baylor University rose 16% between 2021 and 2024 ($50.2k → $58.1k).
Texas · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Baylor
Waco, Texas. 15,007 undergraduate students. 177 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Baylor
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+16%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Baylor University rose 16% between 2021 and 2024 ($50.2k → $58.1k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Texas
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$65,793+16% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639$56,532
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry80.2%+15% · '97→'24
Texas median 51.8%$19,500+79% · '97→'20
At program completion15,007+42% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS90.6%+11% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time51.0%-35% · '01→'24
latest cohort$54,844+385% · '00→'24
out-of-state $54,844SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.9%Median federal debt $19,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $65,793 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+55%
Baylor · completion · 100% rose
44.0% → 68.1%
+11%
Baylor · retention rose
82.0% → 91.0%
+42%
Baylor · undergrad enrollment rose
10,395 → 14,785
+385%
Baylor · in-state tuition rose
$11,990 → $58,100
+385%
Baylor · out-of-state tuition rose
$11,990 → $58,100
+79%
Baylor · median debt rose
$12,849 → $23,000
-31%
Baylor · pell share fell
18.1% → 12.4%
+32%
Baylor · earnings_median_10yr rose
$50,000 → $65,793
+37%
Baylor · earnings_median_8yr rose
$44,900 → $61,504
+38%
Baylor · earnings_median_6yr rose
$41,000 → $56,532
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
General Sales, Merchandising and Related Marketing Operations.$154,528Business Administration, Management and Operations.$141,489Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$125,637Law.$113,657Computer Science.$107,293Management Information Systems and Services.$104,131Accounting and Related Services.$103,719Finance and Financial Management Services.$98,333Electrical, Electronics and Communications Engineering.$98,324Accounting and Related Services.$94,352Business/Managerial Economics.$93,359Mechanical Engineering.$88,325Business/Commerce, General.$86,739Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$81,389Human Resources Management and Services.$80,478Entrepreneurial and Small Business Operations.$78,646Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$77,785Specialized Sales, Merchandising and Marketing Operations.$77,422Business Administration, Management and Operations.$77,023Marketing.$72,410Political Science and Government.$70,092Chemistry.$68,294Biochemistry, Biophysics and Molecular Biology.$67,262Health/Medical Preparatory Programs.$65,917
Showing top 24 of 57 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
57 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
ENGINEERING · CIP 14
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS · CIP 27
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PHILOSOPHY & RELIGIOUS STUDIES · CIP 38
THEOLOGY & RELIGIOUS VOCATIONS · CIP 39
PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$81,389Health/Medical Preparatory Programs.$65,917Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$77,785Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$62,574Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$125,637
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$141,489Accounting and Related Services.$94,352Marketing.$72,410Finance and Financial Management Services.$98,333Business Administration, Management and Operations.$77,023Management Information Systems and Services.$104,131Accounting and Related Services.$103,719Entrepreneurial and Small Business Operations.$78,646Business/Commerce, General.$86,739Business/Managerial Economics.$93,359Specialized Sales, Merchandising and Marketing Operations.$77,422General Sales, Merchandising and Related Marketing Operations.$154,528Human Resources Management and Services.$80,478International Business.$65,021
HISTORY · CIP 54
NATURAL RESOURCES & CONSERVATION · CIP 03
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Baylor
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$694,300
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 9
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $32,236
- HS-only baseline · TX
- $37,300
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Texas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Baylor graduates earn $X” — not “Baylor makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Baylor caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.