-12%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Hardin-Simmons University fell 12% between 2021 and 2024 (1.5k → 1.3k).
Texas · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Hardin-Simmons University
Abilene, Texas. 1,275 undergraduate students. 81 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Hardin-Simmons University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-11%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Hardin-Simmons University fell 11% between 2021 and 2024 (51.6% → 46.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Texas
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$54,771+23% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639$44,392
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry49.6%+2% · '99→'24
Texas median 51.8%$13,359+303% · '97→'20
At program completion1,275-34% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS65.3%-3% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time96.5%+30% · '01→'24
latest cohort$31,686+231% · '00→'24
out-of-state $31,686SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.2%Median federal debt $13,359 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $54,771 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+42%
Hardin-Simmons University · completion · 100% rose
25.8% → 36.7%
-34%
Hardin-Simmons University · undergrad enrollment fell
1,931 → 1,283
+231%
Hardin-Simmons University · in-state tuition rose
$9,950 → $32,960
+231%
Hardin-Simmons University · out-of-state tuition rose
$9,950 → $32,960
+303%
Hardin-Simmons University · median debt rose
$6,125 → $24,711
+40%
Hardin-Simmons University · pell share rose
28.6% → 40.1%
+31%
Hardin-Simmons University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$41,800 → $54,771
+33%
Hardin-Simmons University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$36,500 → $48,639
+29%
Hardin-Simmons University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$34,400 → $44,392
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Rehabilitation and Therapeutic Professions.$87,790Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$79,214Criminal Justice and Corrections.$56,944Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$55,802Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$54,297Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$53,833Communication and Media Studies.$50,770Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$50,755Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$44,120Psychology, General.$40,256
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
10 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Hardin-Simmons University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$183,864
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 17
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $18,485
- HS-only baseline · TX
- $37,300
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 26
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Texas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Hardin-Simmons University graduates earn $X” — not “Hardin-Simmons University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Hardin-Simmons University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.