+30%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Lamar State College-Orange rose 30% between 2021 and 2024 ($13.3k → $17.3k).
Texas · Public · Predominantly certificates
Lamar State College-Orange
Orange, Texas. 1,426 undergraduate students. 29 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Lamar State College-Orange
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+30%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Lamar State College-Orange rose 29% between 2021 and 2024 (53.4% → 69.2%).
+11%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Lamar State College-Orange rose 11% between 2021 and 2024 ($3.2k → $3.5k).
+15%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Lamar State College-Orange rose 15% between 2006 and 2009 (15.3% → 17.5%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Texas
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$36,587+3% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639$35,553
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry31.2%+386% · '97→'09
Texas median 51.8%$8,125+213% · '05→'20
At program completion1,426-8% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS63.5%+54% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$2,832+93% · '00→'24
out-of-state $13,824SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.0%Median federal debt $8,125 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $36,587 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+279%
Lamar State College-Orange · completion · 150% rose
3.6% → 17.5%
+54%
Lamar State College-Orange · retention rose
45.0% → 69.2%
+93%
Lamar State College-Orange · in-state tuition rose
$1,834 → $3,540
+147%
Lamar State College-Orange · out-of-state tuition rose
$6,994 → $17,280
+213%
Lamar State College-Orange · median debt rose
$3,500 → $10,959
+168%
Lamar State College-Orange · pell share rose
8.3% → 22.2%
+27%
Lamar State College-Orange · earnings_median_10yr rose
$28,900 → $36,587
+44%
Lamar State College-Orange · earnings_median_8yr rose
$23,800 → $34,202
+59%
Lamar State College-Orange · earnings_median_6yr rose
$22,300 → $35,553
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Physical Science Technologies/Technicians.$103,271Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$75,819Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$54,588Practical Nursing, Vocational Nursing and Nursing Assistants.$50,392Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$34,226
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
5 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
SCIENCE TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 41
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Lamar State College-Orange
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$335,421
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 1
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $1,424
- HS-only baseline · TX
- $37,300
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Texas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Lamar State College-Orange graduates earn $X” — not “Lamar State College-Orange makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Lamar State College-Orange caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.